$NVDA Calls - Why I’m in
AI demand is exploding → Everyone needs GPUs
Who sells them? NVIDIA.
Stargate plan → More AI demand → More $$$ • Earnings per share (EPS) going up, but stock is down → Opportunity • Fundamentals remain strong, analysts are bullish
Stock has been red for the last 3 months = Potential earnings run-up • Earnings in 20 days → Market could start pricing it in • DeepSeek FUD = Nonsense • “China making its own AI chips!” → Reality: DeepSeek uses NVIDIA chips • More competition for OpenAI & Anthropic, not NVIDIA • DeepSeek struggling to get users → Not even real competition • NVIDIA wins.
Trump Tariffs = Bluff & Negotiation Tactic • Trump starts extreme, then dials it back • Market overreacting to something that may not stick • He just met with Jensen Huang → He’ll do what’s best for U.S. companies
Amazon Earnings Tonight = Tech Volatility • Amazon beats? → NVIDIA gets a boost • Amazon flops? → Could drag NVIDIA down
Risks to Watch 1. Trump tariff escalation – If he goes harder than expected, sentiment could take a hit 2. China retaliation – Aggressive response from China could impact NVIDIA sales 3. Broad market downturn – If macro conditions worsen, NVIDIA could get dragged down 4. Amazon earnings tonight – A big miss could hit tech stocks short-term 5. Earnings miss in 20 days – Unlikely, but weak guidance could hurt the stock 6. Competition narrative – If media hypes up another “AI chip competitor,” weak hands could panic
Market shook for the wrong reasons • DeepSeek isn’t real competition (they use NVIDIA chips) • Trump tariffs likely a bluff • AI demand still skyrocketing
My plays: • 4x $120C (05/16) @ $12.67 • 5x $120C (04/17) @ $11.40 • 1x $110C (10/17) @ $25.87
Let’s see how this plays out 💰
AI demand is exploding → Everyone needs GPUs
Who sells them? NVIDIA.
Stargate plan → More AI demand → More $$$ • Earnings per share (EPS) going up, but stock is down → Opportunity • Fundamentals remain strong, analysts are bullish
Stock has been red for the last 3 months = Potential earnings run-up • Earnings in 20 days → Market could start pricing it in • DeepSeek FUD = Nonsense • “China making its own AI chips!” → Reality: DeepSeek uses NVIDIA chips • More competition for OpenAI & Anthropic, not NVIDIA • DeepSeek struggling to get users → Not even real competition • NVIDIA wins.
Trump Tariffs = Bluff & Negotiation Tactic • Trump starts extreme, then dials it back • Market overreacting to something that may not stick • He just met with Jensen Huang → He’ll do what’s best for U.S. companies
Amazon Earnings Tonight = Tech Volatility • Amazon beats? → NVIDIA gets a boost • Amazon flops? → Could drag NVIDIA down
Risks to Watch 1. Trump tariff escalation – If he goes harder than expected, sentiment could take a hit 2. China retaliation – Aggressive response from China could impact NVIDIA sales 3. Broad market downturn – If macro conditions worsen, NVIDIA could get dragged down 4. Amazon earnings tonight – A big miss could hit tech stocks short-term 5. Earnings miss in 20 days – Unlikely, but weak guidance could hurt the stock 6. Competition narrative – If media hypes up another “AI chip competitor,” weak hands could panic
Market shook for the wrong reasons • DeepSeek isn’t real competition (they use NVIDIA chips) • Trump tariffs likely a bluff • AI demand still skyrocketing
My plays: • 4x $120C (05/16) @ $12.67 • 5x $120C (04/17) @ $11.40 • 1x $110C (10/17) @ $25.87
Let’s see how this plays out 💰