What are some of your intrusive Oscar prediction thoughts?

We all have them, these intrusive thoughts of "what if this happens" often formed out of fear or hope and a lack of rationality, i am kind of curious, what intrusive Oscar predictions popped up in your mind over the last couple of weeks?

These are not actual things i am predicting or stand behind but just intrusive prediction-thoughts that popped up in my brain over the last couple of weeks, especially after Clayton Davis posted his Variety article:

\ What if Demi Moore and Pamela Anderson both miss out on a nomination because they are not considered "serious actors"? Frontrunners Eddie Murphy in Dreamgirls, Mickey Rourke in The Wrestler, Sylvester Stallone in Creed and Michael Keaton in Birdman all lost to more "serious roles" from less commercial actors, on top of that, Adam Sandler in Uncut Gems and Jennifer Lopez in Hustlers where both snubbed for a nomination in 2019, I think i vaguely remember an "anonymous voter" saying they where happy both Sandler and Lopez got snubbed and they should just "stay in their lane", I however can't find the article, so i am not sure it exists*

\ In that same trend, could the Academy still decide to snub The Substance for everything except make-up because it's just to wild (it so far underperformed with the Guilds)?*

\ This is only based on the Variety article, but could Eastwood get a long director nom because they want to say "fuck you" to Warner Bros?*

\ Can Nicolas Hoult be the 5th slot?*

\ Could Torres her Globe win and constant campaigning lead to a Best Picture nomination for the film?*

\ Can Saldana and Gascon swap places in lead and supporting?*

\ Can Gascon miss out in actress because a lot of Hollywood people are not as progressive as they claim to be?*

\ Can September 5 get into picture while No Other Land misses documentary?*

\ Can Memoirs of a Snail be pushed out of animated feature*?

To repeat, these are not things i actually believe will happen (except for Anderson missing), I am purposely not predicting to many wild surprised, these are just examples of what i mean

So what are your intrusive Oscar prediction thoughts? The wilder the thoughts the more i encourage you to post them here